Public record
Software health reportschema 0.34.0 · metrics 2.10.0 · 2026-08-27 21:43 UTC

Nixtla / statsforecast

Lightning ⚡️ fast forecasting with statistical and econometric models.

PythonApache-2.0★ 4,889 stars⑂ 384 forkssince Nov 2021View on GitHub ↗

Nixtla/statsforecast holds a health index of 98 out of 100, placing it in the Exceptional band. It scores highest on Engineering Quality (96/100) and lowest on Sustainability & Governance (77/100). It was last updated today. A single contributor accounts for most of its recent work.

98
overall / 100
Exceptional

Software health index

Metrics are grouped into weighted categories on one standardized 1–100 scale. Overall starts as their weighted mean, calibrated against the distribution of the public record so bands carry percentile meaning; when public evidence triggers the High-Risk Jurisdiction Policy, the rating is adjusted and receives an At Risk ceiling of 34.

98
Exceptional93-100The record's top tier (≈ top 5%); essentially all checked criteria met
Excellent80-92Strong across the board; minor gaps
Good65-79Healthy; gaps are limited and manageable
Moderate50-64Acceptable with notable gaps; review recommended
Weak35-49Material weaknesses across several areas
At Risk20-34Significant weaknesses; adoption warrants caution
Critical1-19Severe problems (abandoned, single-maintainer, no hygiene)
VitalityCommunity &AdoptionSustainability &GovernanceEngineeringQualitySecurityAI Readiness

Score profile

Each axis is a category. The shape matters more than the average — a healthy subject fills the whole shape, while a spike-and-crater profile means strength in one dimension is masking risk in another.

The weighted overall 86 is calibrated to 98 on the published index scale (record calibration 2026-08-02).

Ownership

NixtlaOrganization · verified domain
2,845 followers40 public repossince Mar 2021

This repository is backed by an organization — shared, accountable stewardship that can outlive any single maintainer.

Package ecosystems

RegistryPackageVersionDownloads / moVersionsLast publishTags
PyPIstatsforecast2.1.11,883,7134342 days agotime-seriesforecastingarimaets

Metrics by category

Vitality

Is the project alive — is code being written and are releases shipping?

88Excellent · 21% of overall
How it's scored
36/36Push recencylast push 0 days ago
22.8/36Commit cadence33/52 weeks with commits
17.3/18Commit volume83 commits in the last year
10/10OpenSSF Scorecard: Maintained30 commit(s) and 0 issue activity found in the last 90 days -- score normalized to 10
Inputs used
commits_last_year83
human_commit_share0.68
days_since_last_push0
active_weeks_last_year33
How it's scored
27/27Ships releases40 releases published
36/36Release recencylatest release 42 days ago
19.8/27Release cadencea release every ~81 days
0/10OpenSSF Scorecard: Signed-Releasesno data
Inputs used
releases_count40
latest_release_tagv2.1.1
releases_from_tagsno
days_since_latest_release42
mean_days_between_releases81
Excluded from scoring (no data or not applicable): OpenSSF Scorecard: Signed-Releases. Remaining weights renormalized.

Community & Adoption

Does the project have users, downloads, attention, and a welcoming setup for contributors?

91Excellent · 17% of overall
How it's scored
59.8/60Stars4,889 stars
21.5/25Forks384 forks
9/15Watchers42 watchers
Inputs used
forks384
stars4,889
watchers42
growth_stateorganic
growth_factor_pct100

Community health

85Excellent
How it's scored
22.5/22.5README
22.5/22.5Licenserecognized license (Apache-2.0)
18/18CONTRIBUTING guide
13.5/13.5Code of conduct
0/7.2Issue template
0/6.3PR template
Inputs used
has_readmeyes
has_licenseyes
readme_badges9
has_contributingyes
has_issue_templateno
has_code_of_conductyes
readme_badge_servicesgithub.com, shields.io
has_pull_request_templateno
How it's scored
80/80Monthly downloads1,883,713 downloads/month across pypi
0/20Registry dependentsnot reported by this ecosystem
Inputs used
packagesstatsforecast
dependents
ecosystemspypi
total_downloads
monthly_downloads1,883,713
unverified_packages_excluded
Excluded from scoring (no data or not applicable): Registry dependents. Remaining weights renormalized.

Sustainability & Governance

Will the project survive its people — bus factor, responsiveness, who backs it, and package upkeep?

77Good · 23% of overall
How it's scored
9/54Bus factor1 contributor(s) cover half of all commits
7.4/22.5Commit distributiontop contributor authored 67% of commits
13.5/13.5Contributor breadth62 contributors
10/10OpenSSF Scorecard: Contributorsproject has 7 contributing companies or organizations
Inputs used
bus_factor1
contributors_sampled62
top_contributor_share0.671
How it's scored
29.6/42Issue resolution70% of issues closed
25.5/30PR acceptance555/652 decided PRs merged
13/13Newcomer PR acceptance2/2 first-time contributors' PRs merged in 30d
15/15OpenSSF Scorecard: Code-Reviewall changesets reviewed
Inputs used
merged_prs555
open_issues118
closed_issues282
prs_merged_7d1
prs_decided_7d1
prs_merged_30d5
prs_decided_30d5
issue_closed_ratio0.705
closed_unmerged_prs97
first_time_authors_30d2
first_time_prs_merged_30d2
first_time_prs_decided_30d2
How it's scored
30/30Ownership backingorganization-owned
20/20Verified domain
24.8/25Owner reach2,845 followers of Nixtla
22.7/25Track record40 public repos, account ~5 yr old
Inputs used
followers2,845
owner_typeOrganization
is_verifiedyes
owner_loginNixtla
public_repos40
account_age_days2,003

Package maintenance

100Exceptional
How it's scored
25/25Published & resolvable1 package(s) on pypi
35/35Publish recencylatest publish 42 days ago
20/20Version history43 published versions
20/20Not deprecatedactive, not deprecated or yanked
Inputs used
packagesstatsforecast
ecosystemspypi
any_deprecatedno
min_days_since_publish42

Engineering Quality

Are baseline engineering and documentation practices in place?

96Exceptional · 19% of overall
How it's scored
24/24CI workflows8 workflow(s)
24/24Tests present
16/16Linter configpyproject.toml ([tool.ruff])
9.6/9.6Pre-commit hooks
0/6.4.editorconfig
20/20OpenSSF Scorecard: CI-Tests30 out of 30 merged PRs checked by a CI test -- score normalized to 10
Inputs used
has_ciyes
has_testsyes
has_editorconfigno
has_linter_configyes
has_precommit_configyes

Documentation

100Exceptional
How it's scored
30/30README
25/25Documentation directory
15/15Documentation / homepage sitehttps://nixtlaverse.nixtla.io/statsforecast
10/10Repository description
10/10Topics20 topics
10/10Wiki
Inputs used
topicstime-series, statistics, forecasting, arima, econometrics, machine-learning, python, exponential-smoothing, ets, baselines, predictions, naive, seasonal-naive, fbprophet, prophet, neuralprophet, mstl, theta, automl, data-science
has_wikiyes
homepagehttps://nixtlaverse.nixtla.io/statsforecast
docs_sitehttps://nixtlaverse.nixtla.io/statsforecast
has_readmeyes
has_docs_diryes
has_descriptionyes

Security

Are visible security and supply-chain practices strong, without unresolved high-risk jurisdiction exposure?

82Excellent · 16% of overall
How it's scored
7.5/7.5Binary-Artifactsno binaries found in the repo
3.8/7.5Branch-Protectionbranch protection is not maximal on development and all release branches
2.5/2.5CI-Tests30 out of 30 merged PRs checked by a CI test -- score normalized to 10
0/2.5CII-Best-Practicesno effort to earn an OpenSSF best practices badge detected
7.5/7.5Code-Reviewall changesets reviewed
2.5/2.5Contributorsproject has 7 contributing companies or organizations
10/10Dangerous-Workflowno dangerous workflow patterns detected
7.5/7.5Dependency-Update-Toolupdate tool detected
0/5Fuzzingproject is not fuzzed
2.5/2.5Licenselicense file detected
7.5/7.5Maintained30 commit(s) and 0 issue activity found in the last 90 days -- score normalized to 10
5/5Packagingpackaging workflow detected
3.5/5Pinned-Dependenciesdependency not pinned by hash detected -- score normalized to 7
3.5/5SASTSAST tool is not run on all commits -- score normalized to 7
0/5Security-Policysecurity policy file not detected
0/7.5Signed-Releasesno data
6.8/7.5Token-Permissionsdetected GitHub workflow tokens with excessive permissions
6/7.5Vulnerabilities2 existing vulnerabilities detected
Inputs used
sourceopenssf_scorecard
checks_evaluated17
scorecard_versionv5.5.0
checks_inconclusive1
scorecard_aggregate7.8
Excluded from scoring (no data or not applicable): Signed-Releases. Remaining weights renormalized.

Dependency advisories

100Exceptional
How it's scored
35/35Direct dependencies free of known advisoriesno direct dependency carries a known advisory
25/25Indirect dependencies free of known advisoriesno indirect dependency carries a known advisory
0/40No advisories left outstandingno advisory carries a publication date
Inputs used
sourceosv
advisories0
affected_packages0
assessed_packages21
unassessed_packages0
affected_by_severitynone
direct_affected_packages0
Excluded from scoring (no data or not applicable): No advisories left outstanding. Remaining weights renormalized. Matched the pypi:statsforecast@2.1.1 runtime dependency closure — what installing the published package pulls in — 21 packages. Reachability is not analyzed.

AI Readiness

How well is the repo equipped to be developed and maintained with AI coding agents? Carries a deliberately small weight (4%): agent tooling is a real maintenance signal, but a repository with none can still reach 100/100.

78Good · 4% of overall
How it's scored
0/45Agent instructionsno CLAUDE.md / AGENTS.md / editor rules
15/15Machine-readable docs (llms.txt)llms.txt served by the project website (https://nixtlaverse.nixtla.io/llms.txt)
40/40Legible commit history63 of 68 human commits state their intent (structured subject or explanatory body)
Inputs used
has_llms_txtyes
llms_txt_urlhttps://nixtlaverse.nixtla.io/llms.txt
legible_history_share0.926
agent_instruction_files
agent_instruction_max_bytes
How it's scored
18/18One-command bootstrapMakefile, experiments/arima/Makefile, experiments/arima_xreg/Makefile, experiments/ces/Makefile, experiments/vn1-competition/Makefile
22/22Automated tests
11/11Lint / format configpyproject.toml ([tool.ruff])
11/11Static type checking.mypy.ini, python/statsforecast/py.typed
10/10Reproducible environmentDockerfile, lockfile
0/10Demonstrated agent practiceno agent-authored commits among the last 100
8/8Automated maintenance32 of the last 100 commits are automated dependency updates
7/10OpenSSF Scorecard: Pinned-Dependenciesdependency not pinned by hash detected -- score normalized to 7
Inputs used
has_nixno
has_testsyes
lockfilesuv.lock
has_dockerfileyes
typed_languageno
bootstrap_filesMakefile, experiments/arima/Makefile, experiments/arima_xreg/Makefile, experiments/ces/Makefile, experiments/vn1-competition/Makefile
has_devcontainerno
has_linter_configyes
typecheck_configs.mypy.ini, python/statsforecast/py.typed
agent_commit_share0
toolchain_manifests
dependency_bot_commit_share0.32
How it's scored
27/45Type-checkable codePython with type-check config (.mypy.ini, python/statsforecast/py.typed)
53.1/55Manageable file sizes4/116 source files over 60KB
Inputs used
primary_languagePython
largest_source_bytes274,631
source_files_sampled116
oversized_source_files4
How it's scored
0/40API schema (OpenAPI/GraphQL/proto)not applicable to this kind of software
0/20MCP servernot applicable to this kind of software
40/40Runnable examplesnotebooks
Inputs used
example_dirsnotebooks
has_mcp_signalno
api_schema_files
interfaces_expected_of
Excluded from scoring (no data or not applicable): API schema (OpenAPI/GraphQL/proto), MCP server. Remaining weights renormalized.

Key facts

4,889GitHub stars
62contributors
83commits, last 12 months
0days since last push
40releases
1bus factor
118open issues
PyPIpackage ecosystems

Data collection warnings

  • Star history unavailable: GitHub GraphQL error: Resource not accessible by personal access token
  • Star history carried forward from 2026-07-20: GitHub restricted the stargazers API to repository admins, so it can no longer be collected. The repository has 4889 stars today.
  • Could not fetch pypi package 'statsforecast._lib' from its registry

More detail

Star and fork history 4,845 ★ / 384 ⇿
4,845Stars
384Forks
40Releases

When each star and fork was added, collected from GitHub and bucketed by day. Cumulative growth sits directly above the daily additions it is made of, so the two read against each other: steady organic accretion looks nothing like an abrupt, short-lived burst. Where that difference is measurable, it is reported as growth authenticity.

Only the most recent history is shown — this repository exceeds the collection window, so the earliest history is not captured.

Star history is shown as collected on 2026-07-20. GitHub restricted the stargazers API to repository administrators in July 2026, so this series can no longer be extended; the current star total above remains live.

01,0002,0003,0004,0005,0004,845382802022-022024-052026-08
Major 2Minor 12Patch 25

Each point covers 5 days.

OpenSSF Scorecard 7.8 / 10
7.8aggregate

Independent, tool-agnostic security assessment from the open-source OpenSSF Scorecard. Each check rewards a security practice, not a specific vendor's tool. Checks Scorecard could not determine are marked n/a and excluded from the security score (never counted as zero).Scorecard v5.5.0 · 2026-08-27 21:42 UTC

10Binary-Artifactsno binaries found in the repo
5Branch-Protectionbranch protection is not maximal on development and all release branches
10CI-Tests30 out of 30 merged PRs checked by a CI test -- score normalized to 10
0CII-Best-Practicesno effort to earn an OpenSSF best practices badge detected
10Code-Reviewall changesets reviewed
10Contributorsproject has 7 contributing companies or organizations
10Dangerous-Workflowno dangerous workflow patterns detected
10Dependency-Update-Toolupdate tool detected
0Fuzzingproject is not fuzzed
10Licenselicense file detected
10Maintained30 commit(s) and 0 issue activity found in the last 90 days -- score normalized to 10
10Packagingpackaging workflow detected
7Pinned-Dependenciesdependency not pinned by hash detected -- score normalized to 7
7SASTSAST tool is not run on all commits -- score normalized to 7
0Security-Policysecurity policy file not detected
n/aSigned-Releasesno releases found
9Token-Permissionsdetected GitHub workflow tokens with excessive permissions
8Vulnerabilities2 existing vulnerabilities detected
Direct dependencies 10
RegistryPackageVersion constraintManifest
PyPIcloudpicklepyproject.toml
PyPIcoreforecast>=0.0.17pyproject.toml
PyPInumpy>=1.21.6pyproject.toml
PyPIpandas<3.0.0pyproject.toml
PyPIscipy>=1.7.3pyproject.toml
PyPIstatsmodels>=0.14.5pyproject.toml
PyPItqdmpyproject.toml
PyPIfugue>=0.9.4pyproject.toml
PyPIutilsforecast>=0.1.4pyproject.toml
PyPIthreadpoolctl>=3pyproject.toml
All dependencies 144

Full resolved dependency set from the GitHub dependency graph: 13 direct and 131 indirect (transitive) packages. The transitive closure is complete when the repository commits a lockfile.

RegistryPackageVersionRelation
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PyPIscipy1.15.3direct
PyPIscipy1.17.0direct
PyPIstatsmodels0.14.6direct
PyPIthreadpoolctl3.6.0direct
PyPItqdm4.67.1direct
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Dependency advisories 0

Installing pypi:statsforecast@2.1.1 pulls in 21 packages, direct and transitive: 0 carry known advisories, of which 0 are direct dependencies.

No known advisories affect the assessed dependencies.

An advisory means the version recorded in the dependency graph falls inside an advisory’s affected range. Reachability is not analysed, and the graph includes development and test pins — a finding may concern tooling rather than shipped software.

Raw JSON report machine-readable

Feedback

Spotted something off in this report, or have thoughts to share? Wrong measurements, missed tooling, ideas, questions — anything is welcome. Every message is read and gets a response.

The message is kept through sign-in.

Scores are signals, not warranties. They reflect publicly visible practices on GitHub — not a code audit, and not a security guarantee.

Missing data is excluded and weights renormalized, never scored as zero. Methodology is versioned and open: metrics v2.10.0, schema v0.34.0 — full methodology · metrics wiki.

How one result sits in the wider record: aggregate statisticsPyPI.