Public record
Software health reportschema 0.34.0 · metrics 2.10.0 · 2026-09-12 04:14 UTC

openpredictionmarkets / socialpredict

Prediction Market Platform: Easy to Deploy, Open Source MIT Licensed

Go · JavaScriptMIT★ 223 stars⑂ 69 forkssince Nov 2023View on GitHub ↗
KindNetwork serviceWeb interfacehow this is determined

openpredictionmarkets/socialpredict holds a health index of 87 out of 100, placing it in the Excellent band. It scores highest on Vitality (93/100) and lowest on Sustainability & Governance (51/100). It was last updated 5 days ago. A single contributor accounts for most of its recent work.

87
overall / 100
Excellent

Software health index

Metrics are grouped into weighted categories on one standardized 1–100 scale. Overall starts as their weighted mean, calibrated against the distribution of the public record so bands carry percentile meaning; when public evidence triggers the High-Risk Jurisdiction Policy, the rating is adjusted and receives an At Risk ceiling of 34.

87
Exceptional93-100The record's top tier (≈ top 5%); essentially all checked criteria met
Excellent80-92Strong across the board; minor gaps
Good65-79Healthy; gaps are limited and manageable
Moderate50-64Acceptable with notable gaps; review recommended
Weak35-49Material weaknesses across several areas
At Risk20-34Significant weaknesses; adoption warrants caution
Critical1-19Severe problems (abandoned, single-maintainer, no hygiene)
VitalityCommunity &AdoptionSustainability &GovernanceEngineeringQualitySecurityAI Readiness

Score profile

Each axis is a category. The shape matters more than the average — a healthy subject fills the whole shape, while a spike-and-crater profile means strength in one dimension is masking risk in another.

The weighted overall 73 is calibrated to 87 on the published index scale (record calibration 2026-08-02).

Ownership

27 followers25 public repossince Nov 2023

This repository is backed by an organization — shared, accountable stewardship that can outlive any single maintainer.

Metrics by category

Vitality

Is the project alive — is code being written and are releases shipping?

93Exceptional · 21% of overall
How it's scored
36/36Push recency — last push 5 days ago
24.2/36Commit cadence — 35/52 weeks with commits
18/18Commit volume — 150 commits in the last year
10/10OpenSSF Scorecard: Maintained — 30 commit(s) and 6 issue activity found in the last 90 days -- score normalized to 10
Inputs used
commits_last_year150
human_commit_share0.83
days_since_last_push5
active_weeks_last_year35

Release discipline

100Exceptional
How it's scored
27/27Ships releases — 24 releases published
36/36Release recency — latest release 36 days ago
27/27Release cadence — a release every ~6.4 days
0/10OpenSSF Scorecard: Signed-Releases — no data
Inputs used
releases_count24
latest_release_tagv3.8.1
releases_from_tagsno
days_since_latest_release36
mean_days_between_releases6.4
Excluded from scoring (no data or not applicable): OpenSSF Scorecard: Signed-Releases. Remaining weights renormalized.

Community & Adoption

Does the project have users, downloads, attention, and a welcoming setup for contributors?

70Good · 17% of overall
How it's scored
38.1/60Stars — 223 stars
15.3/25Forks — 69 forks
3.9/15Watchers — 6 watchers
Inputs used
forks69
stars223
watchers6
growth_stateunverified
growth_factor_pct100
growth_unverified_reasonno_history

Community health

85Excellent
How it's scored
22.5/22.5README
22.5/22.5License — recognized license (MIT)
18/18CONTRIBUTING guide
13.5/13.5Code of conduct
0/7.2Issue template
0/6.3PR template
Inputs used
has_readmeyes
has_licenseyes
readme_badges0
has_contributingyes
has_issue_templateno
has_code_of_conductyes
readme_badge_services—
has_pull_request_templateno

Sustainability & Governance

Will the project survive its people — bus factor, responsiveness, who backs it, and package upkeep?

51Moderate · 23% of overall
How it's scored
9/54Bus factor — 1 contributor(s) cover half of all commits
7/22.5Commit distribution — top contributor authored 69% of commits
13.5/13.5Contributor breadth — 16 contributors
10/10OpenSSF Scorecard: Contributors — project has 3 contributing companies or organizations -- score normalized to 10
Inputs used
bus_factor1
contributors_sampled16
top_contributor_share0.687
How it's scored
27.9/42Issue resolution — 66% of issues closed
23.4/30PR acceptance — 326/418 decided PRs merged
0/13Newcomer PR acceptance — no first-time contributor's PR decided in 30d
0/15OpenSSF Scorecard: Code-Review — Found 0/24 approved changesets -- score normalized to 0
Inputs used
merged_prs326
open_issues113
closed_issues224
prs_merged_7d0
prs_decided_7d0
prs_merged_30d1
prs_decided_30d2
issue_closed_ratio0.665
closed_unmerged_prs92
first_time_authors_30d0
first_time_prs_merged_30d0
first_time_prs_decided_30d0
Excluded from scoring (no data or not applicable): Newcomer PR acceptance. Remaining weights renormalized.
How it's scored
30/30Ownership backing — organization-owned
0/20Verified domain
10.4/25Owner reach — 27 followers of openpredictionmarkets
16/25Track record — 25 public repos, account ~2 yr old
Inputs used
followers27
owner_typeOrganization
is_verifiedno
owner_loginopenpredictionmarkets
public_repos25
account_age_days1,042

Engineering Quality

Are baseline engineering and documentation practices in place?

90Excellent · 19% of overall
How it's scored
24/24CI workflows — 8 workflow(s)
24/24Tests present
16/16Linter config — frontend/package.json ("eslintConfig")
0/9.6Pre-commit hooks
0/6.4.editorconfig
20/20OpenSSF Scorecard: CI-Tests — 30 out of 30 merged PRs checked by a CI test -- score normalized to 10
Inputs used
has_ciyes
has_testsyes
has_editorconfigno
has_linter_configyes
has_precommit_configno

Documentation

100Exceptional
How it's scored
30/30README
25/25Documentation directory
15/15Documentation / homepage site — https://github.com/openpredictionmarkets/socialpredict
10/10Repository description
10/10Topics — 16 topics
10/10Wiki
Inputs used
topicsprediction-market, predictions, forecasting, forecasts, forecasting-platforms, futarchy, forecasting-methods, forecast, decision-making, finance, financial-simulation, market, mit-license, opensource, prediction, trade
has_wikiyes
homepagehttps://github.com/openpredictionmarkets/socialpredict
docs_sitehttps://github.com/openpredictionmarkets/socialpredict
has_readmeyes
has_docs_diryes
has_descriptionyes

Security

Are visible security and supply-chain practices strong, without unresolved high-risk jurisdiction exposure?

64Moderate · 16% of overall
How it's scored
7.5/7.5Binary-Artifacts — no binaries found in the repo
6/7.5Branch-Protection — branch protection is not maximal on development and all release branches
2.5/2.5CI-Tests — 30 out of 30 merged PRs checked by a CI test -- score normalized to 10
0/2.5CII-Best-Practices — no effort to earn an OpenSSF best practices badge detected
0/7.5Code-Review — Found 0/24 approved changesets -- score normalized to 0
2.5/2.5Contributors — project has 3 contributing companies or organizations -- score normalized to 10
10/10Dangerous-Workflow — no dangerous workflow patterns detected
7.5/7.5Dependency-Update-Tool — update tool detected
0/5Fuzzing — project is not fuzzed
2.5/2.5License — license file detected
7.5/7.5Maintained — 30 commit(s) and 6 issue activity found in the last 90 days -- score normalized to 10
5/5Packaging — packaging workflow detected
0/5Pinned-Dependencies — dependency not pinned by hash detected -- score normalized to 0
5/5SAST — SAST tool is run on all commits
2/5Security-Policy — security policy file detected
0/7.5Signed-Releases — no data
0/7.5Token-Permissions — detected GitHub workflow tokens with excessive permissions
0/7.5Vulnerabilities — 12 existing vulnerabilities detected
Inputs used
sourceopenssf_scorecard
checks_evaluated17
scorecard_versionv5.5.0
checks_inconclusive1
scorecard_aggregate5.9
Excluded from scoring (no data or not applicable): Signed-Releases. Remaining weights renormalized.
How it's scored
24.7/35Direct dependencies free of known advisories — 2 affected: github.com/yuin/goldmark v1.7.13 (unknown), golang.org/x/crypto v0.52.0 (unknown)
0/25Indirect dependencies free of known advisories — transitive set not separable from development and test dependencies in this scope
40/40No advisories left outstanding — no advisory has been public longer than 90 days
Inputs used
sourceosv
advisories13
affected_packages9
assessed_packages519
unassessed_packages0
affected_by_severityhigh 2, moderate 3, unknown 4
direct_affected_packages2
Excluded from scoring (no data or not applicable): Indirect dependencies free of known advisories. Remaining weights renormalized. Matched 519 resolved dependencies against OSV. This repository publishes no package the index resolves, so the repository dependency graph was assessed instead. That graph mixes development and test pins with shipped dependencies, so only the declared runtime dependencies are scored; transitive findings are reported as context and excluded from the score. Reachability is not analyzed.

AI Readiness

How well is the repo equipped to be developed and maintained with AI coding agents? Carries a deliberately small weight (4%): agent tooling is a real maintenance signal, but a repository with none can still reach 100/100.

63Moderate · 4% of overall
How it's scored
0/45Agent instructions — no CLAUDE.md / AGENTS.md / editor rules
0/15Machine-readable docs (llms.txt)
40/40Legible commit history — 82 of 83 human commits state their intent (structured subject or explanatory body)
Inputs used
has_llms_txtno
llms_txt_url—
legible_history_share0.988
agent_instruction_files—
agent_instruction_max_bytes—
How it's scored
12.6/18One-command bootstrap — backend/go.mod (toolchain convention, no task runner)
22/22Automated tests
11/11Lint / format config — frontend/package.json ("eslintConfig")
11/11Static type checking — Go (statically typed)
10/10Reproducible environment — Dockerfile, lockfile
0/10Demonstrated agent practice — no agent-authored commits among the last 100
8/8Automated maintenance — 17 of the last 100 commits are automated dependency updates
0/10OpenSSF Scorecard: Pinned-Dependencies — dependency not pinned by hash detected -- score normalized to 0
Inputs used
has_nixno
has_testsyes
lockfilesgo.sum, package-lock.json
has_dockerfileyes
typed_languageyes
bootstrap_files—
has_devcontainerno
has_linter_configyes
typecheck_configs—
agent_commit_share0
toolchain_manifestsbackend/go.mod
dependency_bot_commit_share0.17
How it's scored
45/45Type-checkable code — Go (statically typed)
54.2/55Manageable file sizes — 9/591 source files over 60KB
Inputs used
primary_languageGo
largest_source_bytes1,510,271
source_files_sampled591
oversized_source_files9
How it's scored
40/40API schema (OpenAPI/GraphQL/proto) — backend/docs/openapi.yaml
0/20MCP server
0/40Runnable examples
Inputs used
example_dirs—
has_mcp_signalno
api_schema_filesbackend/docs/openapi.yaml
interfaces_expected_ofnetwork-service

Key facts

223GitHub stars
16contributors
150commits, last 12 months
5days since last push
24releases
1bus factor
113open issues
Go, npmpackage ecosystems

Data collection warnings

  • Star history unavailable: GitHub GraphQL error: Resource not accessible by personal access token

More detail

Star and fork history 0 ★ / 69 ⇿
0Stars
69Forks
23Releases

When each star and fork was added, collected from GitHub and bucketed by day. Cumulative growth sits directly above the daily additions it is made of, so the two read against each other: steady organic accretion looks nothing like an abrupt, short-lived burst. Where that difference is measurable, it is reported as growth authenticity.

01325385063756942024-022025-052026-08
Major 3Minor 9Patch 11

Each point covers 3 days.

OpenSSF Scorecard 5.9 / 10
5.9aggregate

Independent, tool-agnostic security assessment from the open-source OpenSSF Scorecard. Each check rewards a security practice, not a specific vendor's tool. Checks Scorecard could not determine are marked n/a and excluded from the security score (never counted as zero).Scorecard v5.5.0 · 2026-09-12 04:13 UTC

10Binary-Artifactsno binaries found in the repo
8Branch-Protectionbranch protection is not maximal on development and all release branches
10CI-Tests30 out of 30 merged PRs checked by a CI test -- score normalized to 10
0CII-Best-Practicesno effort to earn an OpenSSF best practices badge detected
0Code-ReviewFound 0/24 approved changesets -- score normalized to 0
10Contributorsproject has 3 contributing companies or organizations -- score normalized to 10
10Dangerous-Workflowno dangerous workflow patterns detected
10Dependency-Update-Toolupdate tool detected
0Fuzzingproject is not fuzzed
10Licenselicense file detected
10Maintained30 commit(s) and 6 issue activity found in the last 90 days -- score normalized to 10
10Packagingpackaging workflow detected
0Pinned-Dependenciesdependency not pinned by hash detected -- score normalized to 0
10SASTSAST tool is run on all commits
4Security-Policysecurity policy file detected
n/aSigned-Releasesno releases found
0Token-Permissionsdetected GitHub workflow tokens with excessive permissions
0Vulnerabilities12 existing vulnerabilities detected
Direct dependencies 34
RegistryPackageVersion constraintManifest
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npmweb-vitals^2.1.4frontend/package.json
All dependencies 519

Full resolved dependency set from the GitHub dependency graph: 35 direct and 484 indirect (transitive) packages. The transitive closure is complete when the repository commits a lockfile.

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npmhistory4.10.1indirect
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npmjiti1.21.0indirect
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npmlightningcss1.32.0indirect
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npmlightningcss-darwin-arm641.32.0indirect
npmlightningcss-darwin-x641.32.0indirect
npmlightningcss-freebsd-x641.32.0indirect
npmlightningcss-linux-arm-gnueabihf1.32.0indirect
npmlightningcss-linux-arm64-gnu1.32.0indirect
npmlightningcss-linux-arm64-musl1.32.0indirect
npmlightningcss-linux-x64-gnu1.32.0indirect
npmlightningcss-linux-x64-musl1.32.0indirect
npmlightningcss-win32-arm64-msvc1.32.0indirect
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npmmin-indent1.0.1indirect
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npmminipass7.1.2indirect
npmmz2.7.0indirect
npmnanoid3.3.17indirect
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npmpunycode2.3.1indirect
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npmundici7.29.0indirect
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npmupdate-browserslist-db1.1.3indirect
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npmvite8.0.16indirect
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npmvitest4.1.10indirect
npmw3c-xmlserializer5.0.0indirect
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npmwhatwg-mimetype5.0.0indirect
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npmwrap-ansi7.0.0indirect
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Dependency advisories 9

This repository publishes no package the index resolves, so its own dependency graph was assessed — 519 packages, which also include development and test pins that never ship: 9 carry known advisories, of which 2 are direct.

PackageVersionRelationSeverityAdvisoriesFixed in
browserslist4.25.4indirecthigh24.28.7
nanoid3.3.17indirecthigh15.1.6
@vitest/mocker4.1.10indirectmoderate15.0.0-rc.2
vitest4.1.10indirectmoderate15.0.0-rc.2
yaml2.8.1indirectmoderate12.8.3
github.com/yuin/goldmarkv1.7.13directunknown11.7.17
golang.org/x/cryptov0.52.0directunknown40.56.0
golang.org/x/netv0.55.0indirectunknown11.27.0-rc.3
golang.org/x/textv0.37.0indirectunknown10.39.0

An advisory means the version recorded in the dependency graph falls inside an advisory’s affected range. Reachability is not analysed, and the graph includes development and test pins — a finding may concern tooling rather than shipped software.

Raw JSON report machine-readable

Feedback

Spotted something off in this report, or have thoughts to share? Wrong measurements, missed tooling, ideas, questions — anything is welcome. Every message is read and gets a response.

The message is kept through sign-in.

Scores are signals, not warranties. They reflect publicly visible practices on GitHub — not a code audit, and not a security guarantee.

Missing data is excluded and weights renormalized, never scored as zero. Methodology is versioned and open: metrics v2.10.0, schema v0.34.0 — full methodology · metrics wiki.

How one result sits in the wider record: aggregate statistics.